Forthcoming Prognostic Markers for Oesophageal Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis   — ASN Events

Forthcoming Prognostic Markers for Oesophageal Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis   (#227)

Vinayak Nagaraja 1 , Guy Eslick 2
  1. The Whiteley-Martin Research Centre, Discipline of Surgery, The University of Sydney, Nepean Hospital, Sydney, NSW, Australia
  2. Department of Surgery, The Whiteley-Martin Research Centre, Discipline of Surgery, The University of Sydney, Nepean Hospital, Sydney, NSW, Australia

Introduction: The incidence of oesophageal cancer is rising, and survival rates remain poor. This meta-analysis summarizes 5 molecular mechanisms of disease progression, which are related to prognosis.

Methods: A systematic search was conducted using MEDLINE, PubMed, EMBASE, Current Contents Connect, Cochrane library, Google Scholar, Science Direct, and Web of Science. Original data was abstracted from each study and used to calculate a pooled event rate and 95% confidence interval (95% CI).

Results: Our analysis included 5 OCT4 studies(564 patients), 6 SOX2 studies(336 patients), 5 oestrogen receptor studies(367 patients), 6 MET studies(819 patients) and 6 Insulin like growth factor receptor studies(764 patients). Incidence of OCT4 in SCC was 53.60% (95%CI: 0.182-0.857) and the overall hazard ratio for poor clinic outcome was 2.9 (95%CI: 1.843-4.565). The incidence of SOX2 in SCC was 69.2% (95%CI: 0.361-0.899) however, was associated with significant heterogeneity of 90.94%. The prevalence of Oestrogen receptor a and b in SCC were 37.90 %( 95%CI: 0.317-0.444) and 67.20 %( 95%CI: 0.314-0.901) respectively. The prevalence of MET in EAC was 33.20 %( 95%CI: 0.031-0.884) and the incidence of IGF1R in EAC was 67.70 %( 95%CI: 0.333-0.898).

Conclusions:  Our results show that the status of ER, OCT4 and SOX2 expression correlates with the unfavourable prognosis in patients with ESCC. This study also highlights the potential impact of the IGF1R on the biology of EAC and the expression of Met was recognised as a significant prognostic factor. Our data supports the concept of IGF axis, ER, Met, OCT4 and SOX2 inhibition as (neo-) adjuvant treatment.